Tuesday’s Arizona Fall League recap…

Mets second base prospect L.J. Mazzilli extended his hitting streak to six games with a 1-for-4 effort Tuesday. He also drove in his fifth run.

Mazzilli is batting .314, with a .415 on-base percentage and .514 slugging percentage in 10 AFL games.

Read more at SNY’s Mets Minors…

Mostly Mets, pres. by Caesars AC: Talking Long-ball with Jared Diamond

Toby Hyde and Robert Brender are joined by Wall Street Journal Mets beat writer Jared Diamond for a roundtable chat about new hitting coach Kevin Long. Later (24:15), they’re joined by Steve Selby, voice of the Memphis Redbirds, to talk about the loss of Oscar Tavares.


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Jed Lowrie: He is not a target of the Mets

SS Jed Lowrie will be a free agent this off season, but is not a target of the Mets right now, according to sources.1


miniMCavatarMatthew Cerrone: The Mets asked the A’s about Lowrie last winter, I heard from sources at the time. He was labeled as an ideal fit. However, that was before Wilmer Flores showed he is capable of being an every-day shortstop in the big leagues. Now, I think it’s Wilmer’s job to lose and Lowrie no longer fits in to the mix, especially since he’s likely to get a multi-year deal.

At the very least, my hunch is Alderson will try to trade for a former top prospect who is close to being out of favor, think SS Didi Gregorius or someone from Seattle. He’ll be someone that adds depth on the infield, but not acquired to be the clear-cut starting shortstop.


Season Team G PA HR R RBI SB BB% K% BABIP AVG OBP SLG wRC+ WAR
Jed Lowrie A’s 136 566 6 59 50 0 9.0% 14.0% .281 .249 .321 .355 93 1.9
Wilmer Flores Mets 78 274 6 28 29 1 4.4 % 11.3 % .265 .251 .286 .378 88 1.3

Sources: 1. Andy Martino, Daily News, Oct. 28 | 2. FanGraphs, Wilmer Flores | 3. FanGraphs, Jed Lowrie
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Alex Rios on a one-year deal?

Tim Dierkes of MLB Trade Rumors predicts free-agent OF Alex Rios will eventually sign a one-year, $8.5 million deal this winter.1

According to Dierkes, the Mets, Orioles, Reds, Tigers, Astros, Royals, Twins, Yankees, Phillies and Giants all seem like potential fits for Rios.


miniMCavatarMatthew Cerrone: The Mets have been linked to Rios each of the last three winters. He makes less sense now, because of their ballpark and his weak fielding. But, his bat and contract should be somewhat appealing to Sandy Alderson.

I still believe the Mets will sign a player like Rios this winter, whether it’s him, Jonny GomesColby Rasmus, Chris Denorifa, Ryan Ludwick, etc., there are comparable players to be had.


Rios, 33, finished 2014 with just a 0.20 WAR, playing in 131 games, but missing time with an ankle and thumb injury.

He is projected to hit .260 with a .298 OBP, 28 doubles and 2 HR, according to FanGraph’s Steamer projections.2



Sources: 1. Dierkes, MLB Trade Rumors, Oct. 26 | 2. Fangraphs, Alex Rios Player Page

Longest current World Series championship drought

Seasons Team Last championship won Last World Series appearance
105 Chicago Cubs 1908 1945
65 Cleveland Indians 1948 1997
53 Texas Rangers never 2011
52 Houston Astros never 2005
45 Milwaukee Brewers never 1982
45 San Diego Padres never 1998
45 Washington Nationals never never
37 Seattle Mariners never never
34 Pittsburgh Pirates 1979 1979
30 Baltimore Orioles 1983 1983
29 Detroit Tigers 1984 2012
28 Kansas City Royals 1985 2014
27 New York Mets 1986 2000

Longest current postseason drought

Seasons Team Last appearance
20 Toronto Blue Jays 1993 World Series
12 Seattle Mariners 2001 ALCS
10 Miami Marlins 2003 World Series
8 Houston Astros 2005 World Series
7 San Diego Padres 2006 NLDS
7 New York Mets 2006 NLCS

 

What they said about former-Mets prospect Yusmeiro Petit, now starring for the Giants

In 2001, Yusmeiro Petit signed with the Mets as an international free agent at 17-years-old.

This October, 13 years later, he’s made a name for himself by throwing 12 scoreless innings for the Giants during the playoffs.


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He had a 3.69 ERA in 117 innings and 39 games for the Giants during the regular season, including 12 starts.

“This guy has saved us out of the pen and when we’ve need a starter,” Giants manager Bruce Bochy said this week, indicating that Petit may be a consideration when building the team’s starting rotation next season (SF Chronicle, Oct. 26).


In the fall of 2005, Inside Pitch Magazine listed Petit as the organization’s second-best pitching prospect, ranking behind Philip Humber (MetsBlog, 2005). He was later ranked the 46th-best overall prospect in the game (Baseball America, 2005).

Two weeks later, Omar Minaya traded Petit to the Marlins in the deal that brought Carlos Delgado to the Mets. The Mets made the playoffs the next season, in large part because of Delgado’s leadership and 38 home runs.

“We couldn’t get a consensus,” Jim Duquette said, recalling his days as Minaya’s  assistant general manager in New York (NY Post, Oct. 26). “He is getting everyone out, but doing it with an 88-90 mph fastball. We called it an invisi-ball. Is he a No. 1, a No. 2 or just another guy?”


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Here is what minor league experts and reporters were saying about Petit in the months before he was dealt to the Marlins:

J.J. Cooper: “He’s more of the risk-reward guy, in that if you talk to scouts and you talk to managers and all, no one can really put their handle on exactly what it is about him that’s so effective. … He’s got decent stuff, but, there’s nothing that jumps out.” Baseball America, Jan. 2005


Dayn Perry: “Petit is considered the top pitching prospect in the NL East. He looks like a future ace.” FoxSports, June, 2005


Scott Lauber: “His catcher has told me that when he catches Petit he can pretty much take a nap during that game because Petit will throw it wherever he puts his glove.  He’s got that kind of pinpoint control…  He’s a guy that, because he’s finally being allowed to pitch, is finally starting to show what we all thought he could be.” Press & Sun Bulletin, July 2005


Jim Callis: “I don’t think he’s as good as his minor league numbers have been.” Baseball America, Nov. 2005


Joe Zweirzynski: “I don’t see Petit as having ace stuff, but rather middle-of-the-rotation type stuff, with a worst-case scenario career of being similar to Steve Trachsel in terms of numbers. There is no doubt in my mind that he will pitch in the major leagues, it’s just that I don’t see his ceiling that high at the moment.” MetsBlog, May 2005



How did Petit get from the Mets to the Marlins to the Giants >> Read More.

In 2001, Petit signed with the Mets, who labeled him their minor-league pitcher of the year in 2004.

He was traded by the Mets to the Marlins with Mike Jacobs and Grant Psomas for Delgado.

At 21-years-old, he made his first major league start. He was traded the next Spring by the Marlins to the D-Backs for Jorge Julio. He was a candidate for the fifth starter role Arizona’s big-league rotation or a long-relief role out of the bullpen. He finished the season 3–10 with a 5.82 ERA in 23 games, 17 starts.

Petit was claimed off waivers by the Mariners in November 2009. He was designated for assignment the following February, cleared waivers and was sent to Triple-A. On March 17, he was released, but re-signed with the Mariners on minor league deal.

He signed a minor league contract with the Giants for the 2012 season. He made his Giants debut as the starting pitcher on September 23, in place of Tim Lincecum.


Will this guy get traded this winter?

miniMCavatarMatthew Cerrone: I get asked a similar question everyday, which goes something like: “What are the chances the Mets trade so-and-so this winter?” I try to always give a semi-educated, mostly guesswork answer, based on the market, the team’s needs, how they and others talk about specific players, contract status, hype, hunch, etc.

I’ll try to update this once a week, but here’s where I stand today if asked what percentage chance I think exists that these specific players might get traded this off-season:

Player Trending 10/28/2014 10/21/2014 11/4/2014
Dillon Gee 65% 50% -
Jon Niese 60% 50% -
Daniel Murphy 50% 50% -
Rafael Montero 50% 30% -
Bartolo Colon 30% 40% -
Zack Wheeler 30% 40% -
Kevin Plawecki 30% 30% -
Travis d’Arnaud 30% 30% -
Steven Matz 20% 20% -
Noah Syndergaard 10% 20% -
Wilmer Flores 10% 10% -
Juan Lagares 0% 0% -
Jacob deGrom 0% 0% -