“They should make the effort and try to sign him, for sure,” Carlos Beltran told The Post, about the Mets and Jose Reyes. “I don’t know what’s in his mind, but players like him, they don’t come too often.”
According to the 8,000 people who voted last week week, the Mets should offer Reyes a five-year deal worth around $85 million, possibly with a sixth-year option that could bring the value over $100 million.
Last week, in response to Darren Meenan’s Don’t Trade Reyes campaign, I wrote, “I still think there is very, very little chance the Mets trade Reyes, despite certain people in media who are hellbent on getting us all riled up about it.”
In addition, based on what I’ve heard from people close to the Mets and on other teams, I’ve been saying for more months how I don’t understand why fans and media feel it is a forgone conclusion Reyes will be traded. To me, this has always been the easy, pessimistic, fatalistic response and a great way for talk show hosts and print media to gin up debate.
So, it’s nice to finally see mainstream reporters and columnists coming around, like Adam Rubin at ESPN, who said yesterday, “It now appears highly likely the Mets will keep Reyes at the trading deadline,” and Joel Sherman of the New York Post, who added Sunday, “The more I talk to Mets officials, the more I get the feeling they will not (trade Reyes).”
Exactly. However, long term, it’s tricky.
Last year, at this point in the season, Jose was batting .246 with just 16 extra base hits, as he worked his way back from leg injuries and a thyroid issue. There was zero talk of signing him to an extension. In fact, I heard from lots of fans and media who questioned whether he could ever play a full season healthy; if he was strong and mature enough to retain; and whether or not he should be traded last off season.
Now, here we are, a year later, he’s on fire, playing great, and looking like a National League MVP, and fans want him back at the tune of five or six years and roughly $16 million a season.
Just like it’s not effective to trade someone at the low point of their value, it’s probably equally unwise to pay someone at the possible peak of their value. The question is, is five-years, $80 million fair, given what Jose does for the team on field, at the ticket counter, in terms of marketing, excitement, etc., not just based on what he has done, but also what he’s capable of doing going forward.
Also, what’s the plan without Reyes? I put A LOT of stock in to knowing he can play in New York, he can handle the pressure, he understands expectations, knows the media, and his performed well in spite of it all. What’s more, most fans love him. To me, those two things have major value, especially when you consider the number of big-time players who come here and are a bust. There will be no learning curve for Jose. He’s already a star in New York.
Therefore, if I had to put money on it, I’d bet he and the Mets eventually agree to a five-year, $95 million deal with an option, similar to what Ken Rosenthal suggested earlier this week on FoxSports.com.
The thing is, and we always seem to forget this part of the equation, does Jose Reyes want to re-sign with the Mets?