Note: Confidence Rating at 50%, What a Wild Ride

The MetsBlog Fan Confidence Rating is up above 50 percent for the first time since last summer.

Basically, what this says is:

51 percent of people who responded believe the Mets are headed in the right direction.

Yes, it’s vague, and it’s emotional… but, that’s the point.

I created the MetsBlog Fan Confidence Rating in January 2004, because I wanted to try and capture the emotional ups and downs of being a fan:

AllTimeConfidenceRating

The highs are high, and the lows and low, and it all tends to track quite closely to the standings.  As such, I now display a 50–day Moving Average in orange, to give a better sense of how our collective mood is trending.

For instance, if you look at the graph in the sidebar, the orange line (the moving average) is less volatile – it swings up last summer, dips in the winter, flatlines through the spring and is now trending upward.

The Confidence Rating has become a trademark of MetsBlog, to a certain extent. 

Back in 2005, people with the team and other fans started asking me in person, “So, where is the Confidence Rating?”  And, “Why do you think it’s so low, or so high?”  It still makes for a good discussion point.

More importantly, I’m thankful I created this poll, because it’s fun to look back, stare in to it, and 1) realize how long I’ve been writing this blog, and 2) see and reflect on how crazy the last six years have been being a Mets fan, from the Kazmir Trade to Pedro and Beltran to Willie to 2006 to the Collapses to Firing Willie to Jerry to the Injuries to today… man, what a ride… now wonder I’m starting to see grey hair on my head.