Dominic Smith 1

Five Mets prospects in Law’s top 100

ESPN.com’s Keith Law puts five Mets in his list of the top 100 prospects in baseball, with Noah Syndergaard the highest ranked at No. 24.

Travis d’Arnaud (36), Dominic Smith (37), Rafael Montero (60) and Brandon Nimmo (92) round out the list.

Smith is the highest ranked first baseman on Law’s list and the only first baseman to appear in the top 50.

On Tuesday, Law said the Mets have the sixth-best farm system in MLB.

Michael Baron, Contributor

It’s nice to see some position players making these kinds of advances in the minds of talent evaluators. The organization has struggled to produce position player prospects over the last few years, but it looks like some are finally starting to break through to help create a well-rounded farm system, especially those they’ve drafted over the last few years.

It’s clear the industry thinks very highly of Smith, which is particularly notable considering he has such limited professional experience. Those I’ve talked to about Smith have been particularly impressed with his pitch recognition and knowledge of the strike zone, as it’s something not often found in players who are as young as Smith. He needs more time, but Smith appears to be on-track for a promising career in the big leagues.


Read more: Top 100 prospects of 2014 (ESPN Insider required)




71 comments
eric88
eric88

Something is fishy with 6 Mets on the list. It smells of a Wilponzy scheme.

Sean Matrai
Sean Matrai

Noah at #24 thats harsh. He should be 15 max,and ranked 9-12

mets2891
mets2891

What exactly did Nimmo do to deserve to get on this list?  Exist?

Mr. SERCH
Mr. SERCH

I was actually shocked to see Dom Smith ranked higher than Jonathan Singleton, whom most say is the best 1b prospect out there. So to see a guy like Law rank Smith way WAYYYY higher than Singleton really just gets me even more amped about this kid. I see him as a Will Clark type, but with a little more power.....so if anyone can think of someone that fits that description, let me know...what player is a Will Clark with MORE power???

yankeehater
yankeehater

Why smith didn't make the other 2 lists makes no sense. Mets should have a solid 4 in any top 100. Nimmo is a bit of a stretch.

rstpigeon
rstpigeon

Is Nimmo expected to start the year in Binghamton? I really would like to see how he looks since I just have not been impressed with his numbers.

sayhey24
sayhey24

I'm happy we are rated so highly. Hopefully it eventually translates in the bigs. I remember having top farm clubs back in the day and have been surprised at how few perennial all stars have been produced in our system. After Reyes and Wright we've had none, although some of our current pitchers may get there, health willing.

drmetfan
drmetfan

Syndergaard, Montero and D'Arnaud will/should be off this prospect list next year. i wounder who will step in and make the list? Rosario? Plaweicki (spelling)? Ynoa? It will be interesting to see. Now, having 5 prospects on Law's top 100 is a nice accomplishment. 

BringBackDaveTelghe
BringBackDaveTelghe

So much more fun talking about this stuff then the rest of the crap we've been talking about lately.

nagel100
nagel100

package Flores with Gee at the deadline for an OF bat.  Noah will push someone out of the rotation.  Gee is a good candidate.

The Feels band
The Feels band

Just try to quell my Dom Smith excitement at this point. Pretty sure you can't. I hope this kid doesn't break my heart. 

Brenton Corriveau
Brenton Corriveau

Seems like he put more emphasis on upside compared to other top lists. With Dom at 36 and not making any other list and with nimmo making the tail end

airfeet
airfeet

Seems a little overly bullish there on Dominic Smith.  This love from Law is a little fishy.  Almost as if he's just trying to gain credibility with NY because we are the largest market

Noah Baron
Noah Baron

@mets2891 .397 OBP for a center fielder in the most pitcher friendly ballpark in all of the minor leagues probably helped.  Still has power potential.  I think 92 is probably about right.


Syndergaard is waaaaay to low in my opinion, and this has nothing to do with my obvious Mets bias.  It's as simple as this:  Based on his GB/FB ratio, K%, and BB%, he was the best pitcher in the minor leagues last year.  Yes, better than Archie Bradley and Taijuan Walker.  This is not me being a Mets fan, this is just pure statistics.  


I would have Syndergaard as the #1 pitcher, probably somewhere in the #5-10 range overall. 


Also, I love Dominic Smith, but he might be a bit high for someone who has yet to play in a full season league.  60 is very appropriate for Rafael Montero.


All in all, very good list by Keith Law.

Sean Matrai
Sean Matrai

@mets2891 Yea I was wondering too. He barely made the cut to the futures game. 


He really needs a lot more work to get into my top 100 prospect list. I would have thought Placweki would have been on it over him.



Eileen Yiu
Eileen Yiu

@mets2891 i think this is the first time ive seen a comment about a prospect list like this... its usually how come so and so isnt on it or so and so isnt higher or i rather have this player than that player... never a complaint... nice!

Sean Matrai
Sean Matrai

@Mr. SERCH Smith has more tools overall then Singleton,however the thing is that Singleton should be ranked higher just because he is much closer to the majors.


It hasn't been made yet whether,or not Smith will start the season in Low A Savannah,or Brooklyn,anyway he is still 2-3 years away. 


zoddie
zoddie

@Mr. SERCH Will Clark with more power is a hall of famer, so let's slow down :)  Clark made six all star teams and was top 5 in MVP voting 4 times.  He was probably one of the 30 best first basemen in MLB history.


If Dom Smith ends up exactly like Will Clark, Mets fans will wet their pants.



zoddie
zoddie

@yankeehater  I'm not sure I'd put *any* player in the rookie leagues in a top list.  SO far away from the majors, SO young, SUCH bad competition.  That said, I'm impressed Smith made even one list.

BringBackDaveTelghe
BringBackDaveTelghe

@rstpigeon Who cares about numbers?  That's not solely how you evaluate prospects, for instance any numbers put up in LV are completely meaningless.

Nimmo was hurt for a chunk of the season, did great on the road and showed some improvement vs lefties as the season went on.  Who knows where he goes from now but it was a positive first step.

zoddie
zoddie

@rstpigeon  He may end the year in Binghamton, but will probably start the year in St. Lucie (Advanced A).

zoddie
zoddie

@drmetfanDominic Smith, Kevin Plawecki, Amed Rosario, Brandon Nimmo, Gavin Cecchini, Gabriel Ynoa, Michael Fulmer, Steven Matz, Puello (who may get a few MLB ABs this year), Dilson Herrera...

lindro88
lindro88

@nagel100 Don't even want to see what the team looks like at the deadline?  lol

Mr. SERCH
Mr. SERCH

@ryanttighe @michaelgbaron @keithlaw @Mets Flores' best value to the Mets, unfortunately, is probably as a trade chip. Use him at 3rd and 2nd in the minors and take advantage of the hitter's league/park that is the PCL and Vegas. If he's raking above .310 in AAA (which i feel is quite likely), then some team will bite and take a chance on him. Preferably an AL team that can DH him if he is indeed that bad in the field.


Stinks because we've heard about him for so long, you WANT to see him come in and be a pro ball player for the Mets...and the only way that happens is if he's decent enough at 2B, and we can trade a hot hitting Murphy to a team that needs a 2B/3B with experience.....and that might be asking a lot. 


zoddie
zoddie

@The Feels  Loooong way to go before he gets to the Mets.  Fewer than 175 ABs as a pro, but I'm excited, too.

Mark Kelly
Mark Kelly

@Brenton Corriveau I had gotten to a different link from a Rubin tweet, but it now takes me to the same page as above. 

Law said in the breakdown of his rankings that the one thing he has changed in recent years is he now includes players with higher ceilings, rather than just players closer to the majors. He does this for 2 reasons mainly this is how executives have been dealing and looking at minor league players, and he stated it allows him to include players many might not have heard about prior. 

I can't believe in 2014 that Insider and a paywall still exists. Doesn't ESPN know this info will just filter out in hours/days and be available on other sites.

Orlando Fernandez
Orlando Fernandez

@airfeet@michaelgbaron@keithlaw@@ I've been following Law since he took on the ESPN gig. He is not the type to care about such things. I find him to be totally credible. Sometimes, he misses the mark on a prospect, of course. But he writes what he thinks, whether the NY market likes it or not. 

zoddie
zoddie

@gloveman @Mr. SERCH  Keith Hernandez may be a better comp for Dom Smith.  Really good fielder, good OBP, not a ton of power.

Mr. SERCH
Mr. SERCH

@BringBackDaveTelghe @Mr. SERCH I def am looking at those 2 guys the most, and Jack Leathersich and Cesar Puello...i mentioned in a comment earlier that i envision a long, more patient path to the majors for Nimmo, around 2017 for him to be pencilled in as the everyday RF. That should be right around the time we can pencil in Dom Smith too. Those guys are going to be linked for a long time, as they both improve in the minors. Theyre gonna be paired like Wright and Reyes were...and if they can carve out careers anything like Wright and Reyes, when paired with our pithcing, the Mets are going to be perennial post season players.

rstpigeon
rstpigeon

@BringBackDaveTelghe@rstpigeonWhich is why I want to SEE him. At Nimmo's stage of development, the sample size is small and what there is of it is unremarkable. So, I figure that watching him play, I'll see the potential that doesn't show up on paper.


Baseball is about numbers - getting on base, scoring runs, driving in runs, striking out hitters, not striking out, stranding runners on base, not committing errors - it all adds up, factors in, and you can read the value of a player in his stats, over time. Seeing a kid break out of the box fast doesn't hurt. It's not like I'm off on the kid, but, he's down south and the only glimpse a guy gets in Jersey of how he's doing is on paper and through dubious reporting. If he comes to Binghamton, it'll make a few good day trips to see him play and see what he has to offer.

Brenton Corriveau
Brenton Corriveau

I hope he starts in AA since I line in Portland Maine and I can see him vs the sea dogs. If not ill see him later in the year after he gets moved up. Talking about Nimmo

Mr. SERCH
Mr. SERCH

@zoddie @rstpigeon where do you think he'll finish the year though? By the looks of it, we may not see him in the majors until he's about 24 (he's 21 now)...as much as you want to see him up and playing soon, i think with him, the potential is there to be a big time contributor on the Mets IF we dont rush him and let him reach his potential. If that means he gets called up in September of 2016, and is the starter in 2017, then so be it. That'll be around the time Granderson is wrapping up his contract with us...

ac0814
ac0814

Nimmo sticks in CF, imo.

Tarheel11
Tarheel11

@rstpigeon @BringBackDaveTelghe As they all say, does he pass the eye test. Numbers are great but you're right seeing a kid up close says a ton. Seeing the tools, especially in a game like baseball. 

zoddie
zoddie

@Mr. SERCH@zoddie@rstpigeon  If the Mets take him slow, it would look like this --

2014 (21 years old) - A+ St. Lucie

2015 (22) - AA Bing 

2016 (23) - AAA Vegas / September call-up 

2017 (24) - Starting 1b.

That, plus a million variables.  Injuries can slow him down.  Hitting poorly slows him down.  Hitting REALLY well may speed him up.  Current players being better than expected can slow him down (if, say Ike/Duda and Satin end up being a really good platoon for a few years or if Wilmer tears the cover off the ball and forces the Mets to play him).

Orlando Fernandez
Orlando Fernandez

@airfeet @Orlando Fernandez I believe you dude. Perhaps the development of the arms, combined with the fact he thinks Smith is a good gamble at the spot we were drafting, had some sway. Also, every year is different as teams are compared with the rest of the league; guys graduate to the show, etc.

Orlando Fernandez
Orlando Fernandez

@airfeet Don't recall his writing that, but could be. I think we should keep in mind that the system rank is not just about the top 100 guys. Law likes the potential of the collection of arms the Mets have -- even beyond Thor and Montero. Law's most interesting comment is being lost: that the Mets have done very well the last few years assembling talent, especially when you consider we haven't had the high picks of the Cubs, Astros or Twins. Big difference in drafting in the top 3 when you can nab a Bryant, which is more of a sure thing than whatever you're going to secure drafting below 9 or 10.