Michael-Conforto

Do the Mets have a new No. 1 prospect?

ESPN.com’s draft expert, Keith Law, says Mets 2014 first-round Michael Conforto should now be considered the team’s top prospect over RHP Noah Syndergaard.

“This is a toss-up for me,” admits Law. “Given the choice between a topflight pitching prospect like Syndergaard and a topflight hitting prospect like Conforto, I lean toward the latter for the simple reason of predictability.”

According to Law, Conforto is capable of debuting at as high as Double-A, given his approach at the plate >> Read more at ESPN.com.




96 comments
Chris Biehl
Chris Biehl

lol, ALL players start out as some type of prospect

Bryan McEntee
Bryan McEntee

The minor leagues are so lacking in offensive talent that he's at worst the #2 best hitting prospect in the system and hasn't even played an inning of minor league ball. You have Nimmo and really no one else is even a close. That's how devoid the farm system is of hitters. 

nagel100
nagel100

LF is wide open.  he can start in A and move up as quickly as his bat allows.

Brian Sementa
Brian Sementa

from what ive been reaing on this kid he seems to be one of those guys whos gonna fly here

Robert Nolan
Robert Nolan

I don't know if this is a result of the Mets drafting really well this year or drafting poorly the last few years?  For a kid to leapfrog everyone, maybe its a little of both....

Mike Scourby
Mike Scourby

Conforto was on many teams high list. He was considered one of best bats in college and MLB ready. He is a great pick.

Brad Houser
Brad Houser

Remember when Milledge, Gomez and Fernando Martinez were going to be the Mets OF of the future? At least Gomez turned into a star although it took him a long time I blossom.

Mike Scourby
Mike Scourby

I just posted SLM box score Nimmo is smacking ball.

Robby Johnson
Robby Johnson

I'm glad we selected a kid who can make an impact in 2, maybe 3 years rather than 4 to 5.

dooley
dooley

Does anyone know what level of the minor leagues is comparable to college competition? I realize that this could be a poor comparison but just curious

Justin Kaiser
Justin Kaiser

Just because you don't know about MLB Draft prospects doesn't mean he's overhyped.

Steven Girgenti
Steven Girgenti

im tired of hearing about prospects, its just prolonged disappointment

Kevin McManus
Kevin McManus

If he starts at high A ball and rakes then we can consider him amongst our top 5 prospects . Right now even calling him a better prospect than Nimmo is ridiculous . Nimmo is crushing the ball and ready for AA , all Comforto has done is get drafted. Nimmo may be a too 25 mlb prospect while Thor may see a slight drop in ranking. Seems we give top 5 rank to all our first round picks. Look at Gavin Cecchinni . BTW , what about Dominic Smith who is hitting in low A already and he's only what , 18,19?

All that said we have some decent position prospects none with more potential than Thor. Except maybe Nimmo who us blessed with awesome sauce.

simbad
simbad

Great. Now what? Wait till 2021?

jamets
jamets

I seriously doubt he starts in AA.  I'm guessing St. Lucie at the highest. Then he can play AA next year, and he can hit the majors sometime in 2016.  That's about the most aggressive I can imagine the Mets being with any prospect.

1harris1
1harris1

I like what I'm hearing. Lord knows this team could use some offensive talent. If they can get him signed soon enough and he starts at AA, maybe we see him next summer.

hankypanky
hankypanky

Hopefully, Boras will not become his agent. That would be a nightmare waiting in the wings.

Zach Goeringer
Zach Goeringer

What about Nimmo? why hasn't he made his way into our best prospect talk? The kid has a .448 obp in the most pitcher friendly league in minor league baseball. We have been crying about a leadoff hitter, I know he's 2 years away but there's our leadoff man.

Gregg Squire
Gregg Squire

Well, I guess Syndergaard's 4.47 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in LV this year shows he isn't ready. Onto the next big hype!!!

Zach Goeringer
Zach Goeringer

He needs to hit with a wood bat at a professional level before we can declare him our top prospect. Just remember, this kid has only 2 tools so if he doesn't hit then we have nothing.

cj1786
cj1786

@Robert Nolan Its neither.  Its just the type of prospects they picked early one.  The last three years they took HS kids who were very young.  Conforto played 3 years of college ball and turned 21 this past in March. To put it in perspective, Brandon Nimmo, who was was the Mets top pick 3 years ago also just turned 21 in March.  And this season Nimmo is playing very well in High A and could play his way into a promotion to AA later this year.  That would put him right around where they are saying Conforto will slot in, which makes sense.  Nimmo and Conforto two prospects that are the same age, and will likely end up in the same place this year, but took different paths to get there. 

lindro88
lindro88

@Robert Nolan  Every mock draft I saw had the Mets picking this guy.  Hopefully we have a real major league hitter in the lineup soon.

nymetsrule
nymetsrule

You could have a fan bat for CY and get better results. Maybe the Mets can have a raffle before each game for the chance to do that.

nymetsrule
nymetsrule

Can't wait to see how the Mets ruin him.

Bryan McEntee
Bryan McEntee

Yep and Alex Escobar, Alex Ochoa, Al Shirley and Billy Beane before that

Rick Terry
Rick Terry

Those were all high-risk high-reward players. Conforto is supposed to be a high-floor guy with a moderately high ceiling.

@dooley I think they TYPICALLY go to full season A ball like Savannah. I think most of them spend a few weeks in short season and then move to a full season A ball team. 

nymetsrule
nymetsrule

Most southern schools are bigger baseball schools. SCC top talent is like AA at best

Robby Johnson
Robby Johnson

@dooley Level of competition obviously helps in assessing a guys strengths and weaknesses.  But baseball shouldn't be confused with football when it comes to basing judgement on level of play with prospects.

I think it's more about mechanics, hitting approach, consistency, and how a kid faired against some of the tougher pitching all packaged together.

But for example - I spent my college career at the Division 3 level and still keep tabs on about 12 guys I played against who have ascended through the minor leagues in a short period of time.  All while passing numerous Division 1-2 guys, and even guys drafted out of high school. So with baseball, it's really tough to say.


dooley
dooley

@jamets Yeah I think you are right since Plawecki also took a long route, although they may change their approach with Conforto

Steven Glansberg
Steven Glansberg

@jamets Since he's a college guy he really shouldn't need as much development as others.. I could honestly see him up at the majors by the middle of next year

benmoz
benmoz

@Zach Goeringer that was last year, he's not is SAL anymore. The Florida State league is not the mos pitcher friendly league. But he is tearing it up as expected, since he was most that adequate in the SAL last year. 

rstpigeon
rstpigeon

Syndergaard is only 21. If he needs until next year to get through AAA, I'll take it. This year's a bust for the Mets. Bringing him up, this year to learn would be OK as long as there are no expectations other than to see flashes of good stuff. I would love that, but I'd be fine with him staying down a while, too.

Albert E Lewis
Albert E Lewis

Remember hes pitching in the PCL a definte hitters league.

1harris1
1harris1

I've seen enough of these so-called "five tool" youngsters. Give me the kid who can hit.

cj1786
cj1786

@Zach Goeringer Thats actually not as big a deal as it used to be.  A few years ago they put in new regulations on the college bats.  They now adhere to whats called a BBCOR standard and the bats the use now (mostly composites) actually hit much like wood bats.

lindro88
lindro88

@nymetsrule  Depends on the fan.  Cowbell man could not do better than CY, IMO

@nymetsrule - I think very few of them jump straight into AA ball. 

Toby Hyde
Toby Hyde moderator

@Tarheel11 @dooley NO. A-ball is significantly better than the SEC or Pac-12 or any collegiate league. Maybe the SEC/Pac-12/Big 12 is close the New York-Penn League, but on the whole, I'd still take the pro league. 

Craig Ramirez
Craig Ramirez

@Tarheel11 @dooley I think "big time" college baseball (i.e. the teams we're used to watching play Saturday football) is more akin to Rookie/A ball, but def not AA IMO. The difference between AA and, say AAA, and even the Big Leagues is smaller than low A and AA.  A lot of guys get weeded out between Rookie ball and AA.

dooley
dooley

@Tarheel11 Thanks, appreciate the info

Zach Goeringer
Zach Goeringer

@1harris1 Yeah you're right, these George Springer and Gregory Polanco kids just look awful. Who needs all that speed and defense when we have a guy who can hunt strikes to Alderson's fancy.

1harris1
1harris1

Ha! How about Ochoa and Alex Escobar? How did those "five tool players" work out? Oh, that's right.

Name me one "five tool player" this franchise has developed since Darryl Strawberry hit the scene in the early 80's.

Keep thinking. You'll be at it awhile.

As I said, given our track record, I'll take the guy who everybody says can hit.

cj1786
cj1786

@Tarheel11 @cj1786 @Zach Goeringer Sure, its never going to produce exactly like a wood bat but I was just saying that its not like it used to me.  The bats aren't going to be able to cover up the flaws like they used too and most good college hitters make the transition pretty seamlessly now. 

dooley
dooley

I am probably in the minority in preferring the patient approach with prospects. Frank Viola also seemed to express this sentiment in an interview I saw about a couple of weeks ago. He really liked how the Mets drafted high school bats that could be molded into the organization's hitting philosophy, and pitchers that harness their control versus relying on stuff. It seems to be paying dividends in the minors, but unfortunately has not translated into success in the majors yet.

benmoz
benmoz

@1harris1 Jose Reyes. And yes, I consider his extra base hit ability power.

benmoz
benmoz

@1harris1 That took me 3 seconds. Also, Strawberry didn't hit for **** average, so how is he 5 tools?

1harris1
1harris1

Strawberry was labeled "the black Ted Williams" when he came up (yes, unfairly so). Everybody projected him as a superstar, in every aspect of the game. Nobody considered him a .260 hitter in the making at the time he came to the major leagues (which you're right, he turned out to be).

Jose Reyes didn't hit enough homeruns to be considered a 5 tool player, imo. His extra bases came more as a result of his speed, not so much his power.

I really was talking more though about guys who were labeled as "5 tool" types from the start that were successfully developed by the Mets. There really haven't been any in the last 30 years. I don't recall Reyes ever being labeled as such, although he was a very good all around player for the Mets.

1harris1
1harris1

LOL. Nope. Doesn't hit well enough average wise. At least that was the case until this season-we have to see how he finishes the year out. The jury is still out on him as a "natural hitter" imo.

Try again.

Zach Goeringer
Zach Goeringer

@1harris1 He hit .284 last year....if he was on our team now he would be our best overall player by a healthy margin. He is one of the best all around players in the game so I really have to idea what you are talking about.

Zach Goeringer
Zach Goeringer

@1harris1 If you think Conforto is going to turn into half as productive of a player as Gomez you have a lot of disappointment ahead of you.