David Wright’s hits, slumps and next contract

David Wright’s home run last night moved him to within five hits of Ed Kranepool for the franchise’s all-time hits leader.

“I hope I get there,” Wright said before the game, during which he collected his 1413th hit of his career. “It’s something I’m really, really proud about. … I’m sure I’ll enjoy it much more when I’m done playing and can kind of look back.”

Despite batting .340 through the first three months of the season, Wright is hitting just .254 in his last 61 games.

Matthew Cerrone, Lead Writer

I still believe he’ll be signed to an extension and retire as the most prolific hitter in Mets history. That said, right now, I am slightly concerned about his second half swoon. His strikeouts are more or less back to where they were the previous few seasons and his power has totally vanished – again, making him look like the guy we all worried about last year. I acknowledge that he was hitting way over anyone’s head in April and May – as were a lot of his teammates for that matter, all of whom were getting incredibly lucky at times with an unsustainable stretch of two-out hits. The concern, though, is not that he regressed, which was to be expected, but just how much he regressed. His advanced stats from the last three months are almost identical to his 2011 numbers.

He should still be signed to an extension, though. So, I wonder how this will play in to negotiations. On one hand, the Mets may still feel the jury is out on Wright – and simply picking up his option and waiting and seeing might be best. On other hand, if he wins an MVP next season, he’ll almost certainly become a free agent next winter, at which point all bets are off. The opposite scenarios exist for Wright, who could probably get a six-year, $100 million deal from the Mets this winter, despite having just three good months over the last two years. Or, he could play out 2013 and roll the dice.

Last week, in a poll on MetsBlog.com, 67 percent of voters said the Mets should try to sign Wright to a six- or seven-year contract extension this winter; while 12 percent said the team should blow him away with an eight-or nine-year deal. That said, while just three percent said the Mets should pick up his option and let him be a free agent after next year, 17 percent said the Mets should pick up his option and trade him this winter for prospects.