Matthew Cerrone: The way I understand it, there is a better chance Troy Tulowitzki ends up on the Mets next summer than there is he ends up on their roster this winter…
There is a new crop of reports indicating Sandy Alderson’s interest in acquiring him. But, most reporters and sources say there is very little chance a deal happens, all while other teams are starting to show interest as well (MetsBlog, Dec. 22).
Personally, I wouldn’t trade for him today. I would do it this summer, though. There is just too much risk right now, less in a few months.
This morning on MLB Network, Jon Heyman said the Mets should offer Noah Syndergaard, Dillon Gee, pitching prospect Rafael Montero, C prospect Kevin Plawecki and Wilmer Flores, with the Rockies paying around $30 million, to get Tulowitzki and the $119 million left on his contract.
That is a ton of talent too give up in return for a contract and hip that could cripple Alderson’s rebuilding process. Instead, I would wait to see how Tulowitzki returns from last year’s hip surgery and, if the Mets are playing well, I’d do what was necessary to bring to him to Queens this summer – especially if I think he can help me get to the playoffs, which could set in motion a whole bunch of revenue and momentum for future seasons. However, to trade for him now, given how much could go wrong, could be a total disaster…
There has been only $81 million spent on free-agent acquisitions in the NL East, by far the least amount among the six divisions in baseball (MLB Trade Rumors, Dec. 21).
So far this winter, the Braves signed Nick Markakis to a $44 million contract, the Marlins committed $16 million to Michael Morse, and the Mets signed Michael Cuddyer to a two-year, $21 million deal.
The Marlins acquired Morse and traded for Mat Latos, Dee Gordon and maybe Dan Haren, so they have clearly gotten better, not to mention they’re getting back Jose Fernandez and re-signed Giancarlo Stanton. The Mets have to make a big splash, but Cuddyer and getting back Matt Harvey should give them at least a slightly better team than they ended with last season. Meanwhile, the Braves and Phillies have taken steps backward, and I’m not sure yet what to make of the Nationals. All in all, it’s been a mostly uneventful off season in the NL East.
Pirates win bidding rights for Kang
The Pirates have won the bidding for Korean SS Jung-Ho Kang and have exclusive negotiating rights (Heyman, Dec. 22).
The Mets did not make a bid, it was reported last week.
Free-agent SS Asdrubal Cabrera may consider taking a one-year deal, so he can be a free agent again after next season (Cafardo, Dec. 22).
The Mets have shown interest in Cabrera,(Heyman, Dec. 17), though they are concerned about his defense, according to a source (Carig, Dec. 17).
In November, Jon Heyman, an agent and a GM predicted he’ll eventually sign a three-year deal worth between $25-$36 million.
Cabrera, 29, is being mostly considered by teams as a second or third baseman, rather than a shortstop. The Royals have some interest, the Twins have only slight interest and the A’s aren’t interested at all. The Giants had interest, but see him only as a third baseman. The Nationals checked in on him early in the offseason, though it’s not clear why (MLBTR).
The Yankees and other teams have checked with the Rockies about SS Troy Tulowitzki, now that talks with the Mets have quieted down, according to reporter Jon Heyman (CBS Sports, Dec. 22).
At one point, the Rockies were asking the Mets for Noah Syndergaard and Zack Wheeler, but that may no longer be the case, according to Heyman, who still sees the Mets as the “best match, which could hinge on how motivated Colorado is to move their best player.
Dec. 20, 6:30 am
Tulowitzki will not be traded to the Mets, multiple sources with direct knowledge of the discussions told Colorado reporter Troy Renck (Denver Post, Dec. 20). FoxSports.com’s Ken Rosenthal and multiple New York reporters said Friday the chance a deal gets done is between five and 10 percent.
Dec. 19, 2014, 7:30 pm
The Rockies and the Mets have been having been talking for weeks about a deal involving Tulowitzki and RHP Noah Syndergaard (Heyman, Dec. 19). However, later in the day, two sources said trade talks between the teams are no longer active (Harding, Dec. 19).
The two sides have been talking about a possible deal all offseason, but discussions have yet to gain traction (Rosenthal, Dec. 19), with neither side discussing high-level players or how much of Tulowitzki’s contract might need to be covered in a deal (Harding, Dec. 19).
Dec. 19, 2014, 11:14 am
Matthew Cerrone: My hunch is that, while they may get close to a deal, they’ll agree it makes more sense to wait, see how Tulowitzki plays in Spring Training, and then revisit trade talks not long after that… The team’s window to win should officially begin this coming season and acquiring Tulowitzki would be a HUGE addition. Watching how other teams and GMs are behaving this winter, it’s clearly going to take creativity and guts to compete, not just money >> Read more.
To get in to the Hall of Fame, a candidate must appear on 75 percent of the 571 ballots from Baseball Writers Association of America.
Piazza got just 62.2 percent last year, up from his debut. Results of the 2015 election will be announced on Tuesday, Jan. 6 on MLB Network and MLB.com.
“Given the likelihood of anywhere from two to four honorees, Piazza isn’t likely to get in this year,” according to HOF analyst Jay Jaffe (SI.com, Dec. 9). “But, with Ken Griffey Jr. the only likely first-ballot candidate in 2016, Piazza has a strong chance then, particularly if he inches forward this year. It won’t be the first-ballot entry he deserved, but he’ll get his bronze plaque soon enough.”
The Mets have 25-1 odds to win the World Series in 2015, according to online sports book Bovada (New York Times, Dec. 21).
The Yankees are also 25-1 odds to win next year.
“On paper, when you look at them, the Yankees should be better,” YES TV analyst Al Leiter said to the Times. “Now I’ve got my YES cap on, but there’s reasons to be excited about the Mets with all that young pitching. They could be and should be a playoff team.”
Leiter cites a Curtis Granderson resurgance, Michael Cuddyer’s signing and Matt Harvey’s return as keys to the Mets winning the World Series in 2015.
“Don’t underestimate the impact that [hitting coach Kevin] Long will have on Granderson,” Leiter said. “That’s real. And [Lucas] Duda can hit the ball out of Yellowstone Park.”